How to reduce dependence on oil? A. develop nuclear energy; b. development of wind energy; c. development of solar power, d. These are not.
On June 23, the first “Israel studies in China” workshop, Israel oil substitute aliaila・boge, Research Director of the Institute of financial economic planning prepared by the multiple choice question caused a lot of speculation. On the seminar bySea International Studies University, Fudan University, Israel in Bar Ilan University and co-organized Academic Exchange Promotion Association, about 60 people from China, Israel and the United States in academics, officials discuss relations of past, present and future development of energy security is one of the important topics. “If they develop nuclear energy, wind or solar power, global oilLysine levels did not significantly decline. Because only about 5% of the world oil used for power generation, and 30% of the proportion spent on transportation.
“Aliaila・boge said. In fact, this is China’s problem.
In order to reduce dependence on oil, to ensure energy security, is the inevitable choice of new energy vehicles, and production and marketing situation of this industry does not work very well. Can ChinaSource security concerns for a long time, China is an energy hog without compromise.
It was disclosed in the past 10 years, China’s energy consumption increased sharply, an average annual growth of 9% per cent, slightly lower than the average annual GDP growth of 10.49%. “In the energy supply structure, coal accounts for 70%, at the same time, 73% of energy for industrial consumption. “World of Peking University research on new energy strategyZhang Tianshu, a researcher at the Centre at the workshop noted that, at present, in spite of the global energy consumption has been the transition from firewood, coal to oil and gas, China remains in the “coal age”. “China cannot always rely on coal, at present, domestic approximately 1.198 trillion tonnes of proven coal reserves, where the inferior coal accounts for about 20%.
“Zhang Tianshu said. Apart from coalAnd China’s energy security challenge also comes from oil.
United Kingdom oil companies (BP) projections indicate that by 2020, China Petroleum from the dependence on external current increased from 60%, to this end, China’s economic losses will reach $ 79.8 billion. “Prior to 1993, United States for the oil-importing countries, and China is a net exporter, such asToday, United States external dependence of oil falling to 45%, with ‘ shale gas revolution ‘ wow power leveling, the figure will be further reduced. It is predicted that by 2030, the 80% of China’s oil supplies will be dependent on imports, while United States that value the most optimistic estimates of only 35%. “Zhang Tianshu telling times weekly, compared to the two largest economies of the world, China’s energy securityInterest demand much higher than the United States. “The last century, has been going through a golden period of growth in the world economy, but has twice the energy crisis, and the population was 800 million. At this stage, the rapid economic growth in emerging countries with a 3 billion-4 billion people, hence, their energy needs far exceed the previous gold period. “Study on the Research Department of the Institute of foreign trade, Ministry of CommerceJin Baisong believes that, in the past, the world economy had caused world war two in competition for resources, resource contention again, might return to war, from the old ways of the world. “Before the war, for the pursuit of development, Japan expectations outwards, plundering resources, after the defeat, after reflection of Japan started on the road to saving energy, and thus gain the development space. Therefore, ChinaLearn a lesson from this. “” How to conserve resources, how to find alternative sources of energy, in China’s case, which not only has the general meaning, but of great strategic importance. ”
Jin Baisong said. Widely watched in recent days in a book entitled the third industrial revolution, United States Economist Jeremy Rifkin predicted that industrial revolution will happen in the future in the field of energy.Embarrassment of new energy vehicles, looking for alternatives to oil is Israel’s demands. “Oil-rich Arab countries, and Israel lack of oil, in a sense, oil is political issues relating to the situation in the Middle East.
“Dr Zhao Hongtu is the analysis of the Chinese contemporary international relations Institute. Under Israel Institute for financial and economic planning, petroleum substitutes, Research DirectorAliaila・boge analysis, “If global traffic no longer need oil, it also eliminates dependence on oil. “As far as disclosure, at present, China’s oil consumption of 60% by the car industry, while domestic research institutions predict that in 2030, the automotive industry will” eat “93% of China’s oil, or 328 million tons, and by 2050, This scenario or eased, but it can also be maintained 88% levels, which is 425 million tons. Data shows that at present, China’s automobile population of about 90 million diablo 3 power leveling, while the total stock of motor vehicles has 200 million. This also confirm aliaila・boge assertion. According to its statistics, since 1973, nearly 30 years, including China,Energy consumption growth in non-OECD countries by a factor of 1 time, significantly higher than the OECD countries. “Despite the very rapid development of automobile industry in China in recent years, but calculated according to car ownership per thousand, United States for more than 800 cars, Japan is more than 700 vehicles, compared with dozens of cars in China. “According to the analysis of Zhang Tianshu, although soon the process of urbanization in China, but almost 50%Rural populations have been unable to enjoy the convenience brought about by the automotive industry, so to speed up the development of the automotive industry is a difficult and long-term task. However, does this mean that will increase the dependence on oil? Jeremy Rifkin’s assertion is gaining more and more recognition.
In his book the third industrial revolution made clear that the development direction of cars will be electric vehicles. In fact,As early as in April this year, the energy-saving and new energy vehicles industry development plan (2012-2020) has been adopted by the State Council Executive meeting discussed, and will soon publish the implementation.
According to the plan, 2015, pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles in China’s cumulative production and sales will reach 500,000 units, and by 2020 to more than 5 million vehicles a year. DreamVery plump, the reality is very skinny. According to the Automobile Association in statistics, in 2011, China’s automobile production and sales per cent and 18.419 million respectively, and insufficient production and sales of vehicles in the new energy.
While the first quarter of this year, 1830 domestic total sales of pure electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles are less than 1500 vehicles. By contrast, the Chinese themselvesCar and motorcycle sales were very prosperous, 2011 sales total to 26 million vehicles over 22 million cars a year, grew by 18.2%.
In addition, my traffic limits in communities in the development of electric vehicles, such as the elderly scooter also evolve into a “underground economy”. “Our electric bikes are the motorcycle direction, such asBefore electric bike 40 kilometers per hour, only 35-40 km battery capacity, and now the product can go 65 km/h or more, and can continue to run 110-120 km. “Latest research report on the exploration of new energy vehicles suitable for China’s national conditions road map in the article, Jin Baisong believes that, if the electric bicycle, electric motorcycleTransfer car, community electric vehicles, such as the elderly scooter all battery-powered vehicles as popular new energy vehicle market base, then sales pale new energy vehicles in China actually have is superior than any country in the world market conditions.
Methanol car is a new direction? How large this market size? According to the Cycling Association statistics, China’s annualElectric bike sales around 250.03 billion units, current population of 140 million. In order to open up this market, “Government should separate traffic regulations, technical standards, safety standards, allow manufacturing ‘ primitive ‘ electric vehicles go on sale and movement, such as electric bicycles, electric motorcycles, electric minicar. “The so-called” primitive “, Jin Baisong believes that you can reduce the level of comfort, for example, no air conditioning, simplified interiors; you can also reduce the security standards, for example, reducing vehicle weight, reduce security configuration, and so on. “At the same time, combined with low safety standards, traffic regulations and indemnification provisions in the electric car to enjoy a right of priority, for example, any collision between vehicles and electric vehicles are to assume more responsibility, Multiple payments. “” With the developed countries, Chinese consumers’s demand for cars is not high, the last century 80 ‘s Santana, Jetta car sales was an evidence. Thus, the development of some ‘ poor ‘ and economical electric vehicles will be welcomed by the market. “In addition, Jin Baisong also recommended that, the older generation technology manufactured electric vehicle tax, the proceedsUsed to subsidize research and development of new battery technology enterprises; at the same time, new energy electric vehicle tax exemption regime, thereby narrowing the price gap between two electric vehicles. “Substitute oil for several energy, in terms of transport, including motor vehicles, methanol, ethanol and other natural gas. A case study of methanol automobile, at present, China has proven reserves of low quality coal with high sulfur is about 2300 tons, if you come up with 10%, methanol technology using coal, then 12.9 billion tons of methanol can be produced, enough to replace the 8.6 billion tonnes of oil, the numerical equivalent of China’s auto industry for decades of oil usage.
“Zhang Tianshu said. In fact, as early as March, the Ministry issued the 2012 energy saving and comprehensive utilization of industrial requirements. Pointed out that thisYear pilot work of methanol vehicles in the country, as well as guidance, promoting Shanxi, Shaanxi, Shanghai, three provinces the pilot implementation of programming.
The pilot project aims to promote a high proportion methanol vehicle. It was revealed that Israel also engage in similar practices, after it has M15 methanol gasoline in the country (low proportion methanol gasoline blended with 15% methanol) pilot work, andIn March this year, Israel delegation also visited is committed to comprehensive promotion of methanol gasoline in Shanxi province of China.
Zhang Tianshu believes that in methanol vehicle fuel, China can talent, technology, finance, and many other issues and Israel to cooperate. In addition, it has been introduced, at present, Israel had been walking in front of the world in solar energy utilization. “China production, greater use of isPhotovoltaic solar energy, Israel photo-thermal solar technology is very advanced. At present, solar energy utilization in Israel share in the energy supply structure of 4%, reached the highest in the world.
“Zhao Hongtu, said Dr. Which to cooperate in several Chinese scholars seem to leave a lot of space. Because, in recent years, China attaches great importance to the development of clean energy, even in 2009 andIn 2010, two of which exceeds the United States as the world’s largest clean energy investments, and investment issues such as overheating, construction and technology behind the current is gradually exposed, hence, deepening the bilateral cooperation on clean energy in very meaningful. 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